NFL Week 7 Notebook

NFL Week 7 Notebook

The 2005 NFL season has finished six of its 17 weeks, kind of one-third of its yr. Here’s some random thoughts (my therapist prefers the word “thoughtful commentary!) on the season-to-date.

Who’da thunk that the New York Giants will be the league’s maximum scoring group at 29.8 PPG or that the Indianapolis Colts will be the league’s stingiest team, allowing 9.Five PPG. However, I wouldn’t anticipate those ‘numbers’ to remaining, because the Giants are only twelfth in total offense, even as the Colts are eleventh in total protection. Expect that antique time period “regression to the mean” to return into play and for those teams to fall back to the percent.

Al Davis made the word “Just win infant” popular returned inside the days while the Raiders have been a aggressive team. The phrase additionally applies to handicapping the NFL, as 메이저사이트 teams that win SU, often win ATS. The SU winners of the NFL’s first 88 games have long past 72-thirteen-three ATS, or 84.7 percent ATS. Do you observed it is high or low? Actually, it’s pretty much the norm.

Long time Las Vegas handicapper and top buddy Andy Iskoe (The Logical Approach), has carried out an exhaustive 17-yr have a look at on NFL pointspreads that covers every NFL ordinary season and playoff game from 1988 thru 2004 (a total of 4,223 games). I’ll cut to the recap.

Favorites received and ‘blanketed’ forty six.1 percent of the time, underdogs won SU (naturally protecting) 32.Eight percentage of the time and favorites gained SU but failed to cowl 16.Five percent of the time. Ties, pushes and choose’ems accounted for 4.5 percent of the video games performed. Andy’s have a look at concluded that, putting off the 4.Five percent of ties, pushes and pick’ems, that in eighty two.7 percentage of all games, the SU winner of the game additionally covers the pointspread.

How are home teams doing? Actually, quite properly. Home groups have long past 57-31 SU and forty nine-36-three ATS. Home dogs are just nine-12 SU but 13-8 ATS. Since home teams are fifty seven-31, the formative years I spent at Ohio U allowed me to conclude that conversely, road groups should be 31-57. That’s a triumphing percentage of simply .352 and that seemed low, so I checked on it.

In truth, it is very low. Road groups went 111-a hundred forty five in 2004, a prevailing percentage of .434. Visiting teams have topped .Four hundred in FIVE of the closing six seasons, falling under the .400-mark in only 2003 (.387). There is an extended way to go yet in 2005, however I’ll hold a watch on this. The worst triumphing percentage for avenue groups in any yr for the reason that 1970 merger become the 1985 season, when traveling groups went eighty-144 (.357).

Here’s a few notes from one in all my NFL preview articles.

The 2004 season may be best remembered because the year Peyton Manning re-wrote the report ebook together with his passing exploits (he threw a report 49 TD passes even as compiling a unmarried-season report 121.1 passer rating). However, walking the football correctly changed into nevertheless the important thing factor while it came to triumphing games, each SU and ATS.

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